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CSTI Talks


CSTI SEMINAR ON 2 DECEMBER 2002

The CSTI has provided this report for information purposes and to stimulate and guide thought about the issues involved. It does not reflect the opinion of the CSTI or of any of its members or of any of the participants in the seminar.

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PROGRAMME FOR ROUND TABLES

INTRODUCTION :
Presentation of the seminar and the issues

ROUND TABLE N° 1
Unbundling: incentives and disincentives for high-speed access

ROUND TABLE N° 2
Digitisation and digital rights: who pays what?

ROUND TABLE N° 3
Voice and image on IP: technological convergence

ROUND TABLE N° 4
Bringing Europe out of the telecoms crisis

ROUND TABLE N° 5
Critical technologies: perception and reality

ROUND TABLE N° 6
Confidence and usage: perception and reality

 


INTRODUCTION :

Presentation of the CSTI seminar on 2 December 2002

The role of the CSTI is to present the Prime Minister with guidelines, opinions and initiatives on a certain number of matters relating to the development of information technologies in France. Created a little over a year ago, its working methods are now established. A number of opinions have been published, some of them followed by action, as recent events have shown.

Many of the most representative figures from the IT world have gathered here today, 2 December 2002, including business leaders from large groups to start-ups, researchers and financiers. The meeting is not open to the public and its aim is to promote contacts between existing networks in the ICT sectors. An initial public meeting took place at the Ministry for Research in March.

The members of the CSTI wanted this meeting to take the form of a seminar. The discussions will be anonymous, and the CSTI will not be issuing any opinions based on the conclusions.

The issues

After several years of double-digit growth, players in the IT industry are now experiencing a brutal reversal of fortunes. Their financial situation has deteriorated dramatically over the last two years, leading to far-reaching restructuring.

At the same time, ICT use is continuing to grow: the number of internet and mobile phone subscribers has risen sharply and there has been a rapid expansion of high-speed internet access. Despite a rash of dot.com failures, e-commerce results in 2002 hold out the hope of a stable market and a long-term future for the players that remain.

The question now facing them is how to revive a sector not only in financial difficulty - as can be seen from the debt levels of certain operators - but also prey to strategic doubt. The example of WAP shows how difficult it can be for operators and service providers to anticipate customers' needs and expectations.

The government has a number of means at its disposal for aiding recovery in the ICT sectors. The measures may be applied to different parts of the value chain, from the equipment manufacturer supplying technology to the end-user, via the operator, infrastructure provider and content provider.

  • The legal framework of the digital economy :

    The measures taken to adapt the existing regulatory framework to digital technologies have been relatively straightforward, since it is generally able to deal with the questions that emerge. However, some specific issues have arisen, mostly relating to intellectual property (especially copying for private use) and the protection of personal information.

    EU directives in both areas are being transposed into French law, giving rise to heated debate.

    One round table considered digitisation and digital rights in the light of the underlying question of content providers' business models. Another round table looked at the question of personal information and, more generally the technical, legal and regulatory measures that are needed to reassure consumers and instil a climate of confidence. Particular attention was paid to the link between usage and secure transmission, or, more accurately, consumer perception of levels of security.

  • Regulation of the telecommunications market that allows new players to enter and ensures fair and effective competition :

    At the same time, the regulatory framework of the French telecommunications industry is due to be overhauled in 2003, with the transposition of a set of EU directives commonly called the "telecoms package". The new framework should lay the foundations for harmonisation of the rules governing electronic communications and pave the way for convergence in IT, telecommunications and audiovisual technologies and applications. A round table focused on the reality of this convergence.

    Regulators must aim to ensure effective, long-term competition on the relatively undisputed telecommunications market. Although lower interconnection charges have led to a substantial fall in telephone charges and the cost of internet access via the conventional telephone network, the rapid spread of high-speed access raises the specific issue of access charges and of unbundling in particular. Although the cut in unbundling charges in April 2002 led to a rapid fall in prices, with a proliferation of offers at around 30 euros, the question remains as to the effectiveness of unbundling in terms of encouraging the spread of DSL technology. One of the round tables looked at this issue.

  • Support for R&D :

    In the current economic climate, and with their cash-flow being squeezed, operators and equipment manufacturers are drastically cutting their R&D spending. A round table was asked to look at critical technologies and the resources that need to be devoted to them so that France and Europe can stake out advantageous positions.

    Another round table reviewed the action that needs to be taken in order to take Europe out of the telecommunications crisis, including an in-depth look at the causes of the crisis. It dealt as a priority with the situation of equipment manufacturers and operators

ROUND TABLE n° 1

UNBUNDLING : INCENTIVES AND DISINCENTIVES FOR HIGH-SPEED ACCESS

Presentation by Mr. Laurent Zenou, of the Analysis consulting firm, of a study carried out for the CSTI.

Introduction

This presentation describes the main results of a study carried out by Analysis for the CSTI. It is an international comparison of the conditions under which unbundling has been carried out in countries where high-speed access is relatively widespread.

Can unbundling drive the spread of high-speed access ?

The study looked at factors that encourage the spread of high-speed access, looking in particular for any connection with unbundling, but did not find any explicit evidence of such a link. Consider two extreme cases :

  • South Korea is famous for the rapid expansion of high-speed access even though unbundling was not officially launched until the end of August 2002. The spread of high-speed access in South Korea is due to a highly proactive policy by the government, which has sought to encourage the roll-out of high-speed infrastructure (DSL and cable).

  • In Japan, where unbundling is relatively significant (58% of DSL lines are unbundled at the present time), the spread of high-speed access has been relatively limited.

Nevertheless, the spread of high-speed access seems to be linked to alternative operators' development of unbundled lines, and the time lag between that factor and the incumbent's launch of DSL services needs to be taken into consideration.

Unbundling: incentives and disincentives

There are a number of factors that hold back unbundling :

  • Behaviour of the incumbent, which may sometimes be regarded as discriminatory.
    - Access to information : Alternative operators often find it difficult to get hold of information about matters such as line quality, frame coverage zones, the characteristics of colocation facilities, etc. In Germany, for example, information about the quality and length of lines is sent manually (by post) to alternative operators, but electronically (ie, much more quickly and effectively) to subsidiaries or divisions of the incumbent, which offers high-speed access via DSL.
    - Information processing time : All procedures take longer for alternative operators, who depend entirely on the incumbent.
  • Allocation and operation of colocation facilities : In the UK, the process initially left considerable freedom to the players concerned (bow-wave process). However, the system was inefficient because conflicts of interest soon appeared between alternative operators, paralysing the process for allocating colocation facilities.
  • Responsibility for responses to operating incidents : The question has also arisen of who is responsible for action that needs to be taken to resolve problems or incidents with line operations. This has been a particularly important factor in Japan.
  • Learning curve : New entrants, who generally launch their unbundled DSL services later than incumbents, are lower down the learning curve and consequently lag behind at the operational level, which impacts on their efficiency in implementing unbundled lines.

A number of success factors can be identified from successful international initiatives :

  • A regulator that exercises effective oversight without excessive intervention. . In Germany, the regulator acts more as a moderator, leaving alternative operators and the incumbent to resolve matters between themselves, intervening only when a real problem arises.
    - Rapid and effective regulation : Regulatory bodies or other authorities (competition authorities, for example) that have real powers and can respond rapidly (ie, issuing decisions within three months after a referral) also contribute to success.
    -· Long-term visibility: Operators need to be reassured about future developments in areas such as prices for totally or partly unbundled lines. Objectives set by the regulator enable alternative operators to prepare their roll-out plans more effectively and to be clear about the economic conditions in which they will be operating.

  • Exchanges of information : LExchanges of information in electronic form generate obvious time savings, as do automated processes and parallel (rather than sequential) procedures.
    This last factor has a major impact on :
    - the availability of colocation facilities, which brings new zones for unbundling into play;
    - - line-by-line delivery, which enables operators to be more reactive to their customers, a particularly important factor for business users.

  • Co-mingling : Co-mingling is an unbundling option in which the alternative operator's equipment is installed in the same facility as the incumbent's hardware, generating savings of time and money and having an important impact on the progress of unbundling.

What lessons can France learn ?

DSL services have been available since late 1999, from both the incumbent and alternative operators, the latter launching DSL services not in totally unbundled form but as a wholesale offering of DSL traffic carried by the incumbent. Total unbundling was completed in the third quarter of 2001, relatively late. But the situation is changing rapidly. High-speed access is making significant progress. DSL, accounting for over 75% of high-speed lines, is the main contributory factor. Unbundled lines represent less than 1% of all DSL lines and, even if the figure has risen from approx. 700 lines to just over 1,000 lines in two months, the proportion is still very small.

New offerings have appeared since September and lower retail prices are due to be proposed shortly, mainly in the Paris region, for totally unbundled DSL lines. Reported high-speed and DSL customer bases seem to indicate strong growth: in November, France Telecom announced that it had more than one million DSL subscribers.

In addition:
- France Telecom is now providing the available information in electronic form, which could be useful in setting up the process;
- exchanges of information are being automated, with the introduction of an unbundling extranet;
- the co-mingling option has been available in France since June 2002.

Conclusion


Unbundling is a relatively complex process which takes time. It is not a miracle solution that will spark off rapid growth in high-speed access from one day to the next. There is a learning curve for everyone involved in unbundling, whether the incumbent, alternative operators or the regulator.

Discussion

There is relatively little competition on the fixed telecommunications market, unlike the mobile market. Competition takes two forms: alternative technologies (cable networks and radio local loop) and the unbundling of the incumbent's copper local loop.

The purpose of the round table was to consider the question of unbundling as a means of bringing high-speed access to French business and residential users. It is important that unbundling should continue to be one means among others of achieving this primary objective.

Orders for unbundled lines have risen sharply very recently. A few weeks ago, the total of all orders amounted to barely more than a thousand lines, a figure which is now reached weekly. This is a drop in the ocean compared with the 33 million lines that exist altogether, but the movement seems to have started.

Implementing unbundling in France

A wide-ranging debate has taken place in recent years, moderated by the telecommunications regulatory authority (ART), on broad pricing principles for unbundled lines. That debate is now more or less complete.

Unbundling has now entered its operational phase. Both France Telecom and the alternative operators need to move up their respective learning curves. Likewise, the introduction of preselection for voice services also required a certain lead time. Generally speaking, the alternative operators have come to the same conclusion: operational processes cannot be established instantaneously. New processes have to be introduced gradually. Although there have been some problems in the past, the alternative operators say that they are now able to maintain a dialogue with France Telecom staff on the ground, to unbundle lines and to improve services. The main stumbling blocks that remain relate to co-mingling and virtual colocation.

The success of unbundling will depend on the alternative operators' continuing existence.

The real restrictions as far as unbundling are concerned are:
- capillarity;
- the necessary investment;
- connection of the distribution frame to a network (backbone).

Unbundling is relevant above all in densely populated urban areas, where installing the DSLAM (the equipment installed by the third-party operator in France Telecom's distribution frame) is inexpensive because there is a nearby operator connection point. In large cities like Paris, Lyon and Marseille, unbundling will happen.

The next question is what economic model should underlie this mechanism, which relies on unbundling and on France Telecom selling on a service. An operator cannot launch an offering and hope to achieve critical size unless it goes beyond the customer base served only by the sites where it has decided to unbundle. The operator therefore needs to supplement its offering with services sold on by France Telecom (in the event, option 3). Options 3 and 5, which represent not unbundling but France Telecom's resale of high-speed lines, supplement the unbundler's initiative on the sites where it is present.

Unbundling everywhere would not make economic sense. Different technologies must be used in conjunction in order to open up high-speed access.
· Although DSL can be rolled out quickly, there are real investment drawbacks. Unbundling takes place in France Telecom's distribution frames, ie, at a very low level in the network, but alternative operators' networks cannot connect all the 12,000 distribution frames in France even though they have a certain capillarity.
· Other solutions must therefore be used to in conjunction with unbundling, such as radio local loops or wholesale ADSL from France Telecom (options 3 and 5). They enable alternative operators to offer nationwide coverage and high-speed DSL to both business and residential consumers, supporting roll-out at option 1 level and going as far as possible down the network.

It is misleading to think that unbundling can be achieved instantaneously nationwide. That was not the case with voice services, which were also introduced gradually. Operators began by interconnecting with operator connection points, for mere transit. Then, as volume increased, they were progressively able to finance capillarity as far as the self-routing switch. The movement was gradual because three price levels existed in France Telecom's interconnection catalogue:
- a dual transit price, with a single operator connection point nationally;
- a single transit price for operators with a connection point in each region of mainland France;
- a price per self-routing switch, much lower down the network and much more attractive in terms of connection time.

If France Telecom offered an intermediate price at lower than region level, it would enable operators with networks offering voice services to use them better. The ART is due to rule on this question of an intermediate tariff.

De facto, perequation does not enter the operators' business model: they choose unbundling where the costs are lowest, which is entirely understandable. In contrast, France Telecom is subject to perequation, raising a fundamental question that the ART has to address.

Unbundling provides an answer to the question of service provision but does not solve the problem of access, which is also crucial in the least densely populated areas.

While everyone agrees that the local loop is the bottleneck - which justifies unbundling per se - the question of competition on the backbones is more controversial. It exists in principle because that is the level at which competition in telecommunications was initiated. In many areas, however, there is virtually no alternative option for connection from the distribution frame to a high-speed network. Although optical fibre has been installed along almost all motorways, waterways and railway lines, it does not always provide a basis for offering profitable services. If there is a possibility of operating in a sector, it is essential not to lose money on routing to the interconnection point with the provider's own network.

Metropolitan networks are one of the keys to the development of high-speed access for business and residential users. However, they are of greater interest to businesses than to residential users, who can have access through capillary links (radio or copper local loops). Firms on the North American market are greatly interested in techniques based on optical trees that would connect directly to new generation metropolitan networks better suited to the internet. The cost of optical equipment has tumbled in the last ten years. At the present time, the only drawback with optical fibre is the civil engineering cost, though techniques have been developed for laying optical fibres without digging trenches, as long as there are pipes.

In France, a substantial number of organisations, especially large local authorities, have realised that action at metropolitan level, and not only at the very end of the network, is a key factor for development.

Metropolitan networks (which pull together local loops before accessing the core network) have particular features that may make them the weak link in the high-speed chain. Metropolitan networks today are all based on Sonet/SDH technologies, which have the great advantage of being extremely robust (for example, if optical fibres are cut) but permit no flexibility in bandwidth allocation and are designed to carry telephone rather than IP traffic. They therefore pose a problem, whatever the preferred option for the final link (radio, copper, optical fibre, etc.).

High-speed access for local authorities

As far as coverage is concerned, rather than seeking incentives, operators seem to be asking not to be obliged to roll out at a loss. Local authorities are not necessarily interested in unbundling, but they are interested in high-speed internet access. They can act as a staging post, enabling operators to extend investment zones for services that would be sold to third-party operators not in the form of unbundling but as the sold-on services referred to earlier (options 3 and 5). Again, a distinction needs to be drawn between unbundling, as one of a number of means of ensuring competition, and high-speed access itself, which is the desired end.

The question arises here of whether local authorities can:
- allow an operator to use equipment which they may directly or indirectly have helped to acquire;
- benefit from the fact that this equipment, installed in frames, is pooled for unbundling purposes.

Alternative solutions

Unbundling is one solution; other solutions, whether technological or regulatory, could be envisaged.
- Has unbundling a chance of working?
- Is it possible to envisage a structural separation between the incumbent's network and service?
- Could the local public services model enabling local authorities to invest in a local operator (possibly with a public-private shareholder structure) to develop alternative access contribute to the spread of high-speed access in sparsely populated areas?
- Is the introduction of Ethernet in very densely populated areas (not far from frames) on totally unbundled lines a mature and attractive option?
- At what point will firms decide to migrate to optical technologies?

ROUND TABLE n° 2

DIGITISATION AND DIGITAL RIGHTS: WHO PAYS WHAT?

Introduction

The question of digitisation and digital rights raises the following issues:
- What are the limits on totally free content?
- What does the concept of an identical copy mean in the digital world?
- What added value does digitisation create and how should it be shared between the players involved?

A draft bill has been prepared prior to transposition of the EU Copyright Directive. Interested parties can submit their comments on the bill until 15 December 2002; it will be reviewed by the CSPLA (High Council for Literary and Artistic Property) at a plenary session on 5 December 2002.

The bill contains most of the legislative issues that the participants will be discussing during the round table. The key issues concern:
- enforcement (anti-piracy measures);
- intellectual property (adaptation of intellectual property law to the issues raised by digitisation and the information society).

The question of intellectual property raises issues that are specific to France, since they are linked to French copyright law (for example, as regards reform of aspects relating to collective works and artistic creation by salaried employees).

Other matters have a more specifically American, EU or international dimension, such as digital rights management and exceptions (fair use exception, private copy exception and limitative lists of exceptions in the copyright system).

In France, the CSPLA deals with most of these issues. The Act of 17 July 2001 extended the benefit of remuneration for private copies to new categories of works, and the Brun-Buisson Commission is adapting the terms of the 1985 law on private copy to digital media and new written, graphic and plastic works.

Discussion

A case in point : images and the teaching of art history.

In art history, photographs are an essential aspect of teaching, research and the dissemination of knowledge.

The situation has changed considerably in the last two years.

· New technologies have had a profound effect on teaching methods, in France and elsewhere. Hitherto, slides were used for teaching purposes; now, Americans use digital photographs stored on educational websites. The programmes set up by major American institutions like Columbia University and MIT now give on-line access not only to databases but to courses.
· The EU Copyright Directive mentioned in the introduction, published two years ago, clearly inhibits the teaching of art history. Art history teaching used to infringe the law, since slides and digital photos were taken from works or open-air shots (of monuments) without remuneration.
· Concurrent developments in the sphere of image rights make it increasingly difficult to reproduce, free of charge, views of any work, document or even monument (for example, the image rights to the building where this meeting is being held belong to the Senate).

This raises several points.

· There can be no question nowadays of not taking advantage of the possibilities offered by digitisation, especially that of giving students access to photos they can view outside the classroom. Education via the internet is also an extremely promising opportunity that should be envisaged.
· As far as art history is concerned, the emerging legal framework will mean that photographs can no longer be shown in courses, since four persons would have to be remunerated:
- the owner of the work,
- the heirs and assigns, when the work is not in the public domain,
- the photographer of the work,
- the provider of the medium by which the photograph is disseminated.
Assuming 200 hours of courses and 30 to 50 photographs per course, a reporting system on that basis would clearly be impossible to implement or finance.

Two legal systems that exist in other countries would provide a solution to this problem.
· In Switzerland, everything to do with teaching is exempt from these rights, the classroom being extended to include the web. Art historians in France would like to move in this direction.
· In the United States, the fair use exception implies that a person is exempt from the requirement when they use an image for non-commercial purposes. Digital photos are used in art history courses at Yale University and all of them, including photos of contemporary works, are accessible to students by means of a PIN code and are placed online free of all rights.

French students pay a university registration fee of about 300 euros. Consequently, departments have very few resources of their own, especially as the fee is the same whatever the discipline. Universities cannot afford the rights they will be asked to pay. Even major public institutions like the Bibliothèque Nationale and the Louvre cannot offer their works free of rights. Courses draw on a relatively broad corpus of material. It would be highly restrictive if teachers were allowed to use only the collections of French or European institutions in their courses.

Another case in point : books, from the publishers' viewpoint

Comparing teaching conditions in France and the United States is unjustified, especially as university education in the US is fee-paying and there is no comparison with the business model and financial resources of American universities. American students use networks and databases to find knowledge. Lexis Westlaw, a legal database, is accessible online from a computer room; the well-stocked library next door is empty. However, although students have free access to databases, the university pays royalties to beneficiaries.

Digital content will gradually replace physical media. Music on a compact disc can be copied onto other CDs or stored on a computer. Paper is destined to disappear. The 25 volumes of Balzac's Comédie Humaine fit onto a single CD ROM.

The publishing industry continues to cling to individual rights management. Rights can be remunerated in two ways:
- through individual management;
- through collective management.

In the publishing industry, publishers have a contractual right to reproduce and represent authors' work and they remunerate them in consequence. The book is in principle the medium through which remuneration is obtained, but it will be superseded by the databases (CD ROMs, etc.) through which the knowledge is disseminated.

Remuneration is essential for authors and guarantees creation. Photocopying has already drawn attention to the question of reproduction: it took 15 years for legislation to reach the statute book, in the form of the Act of 3 January 1995 which instituted a system of legal licenses. A rights body, the Centre Français du Droit de Copie, used to collect over 15 million euros each year, which it distributed across the whole spectrum of school and university publishing. However, the system has not been able to maintain diversity in scientific publishing. Authors and publishers alike are deeply concerned about the consequences of digitisation.

In music (where collective rights management has a longer history), in film and in other areas, rights bodies like the SACEM, SACD and DAGP have formed Sesame, a kind of one-stop shop where users can pay a negotiable fee according to their type of use (fees are not the same for commercial and educational or research use). Rights bodies and the rightholders they represent therefore have different schedules of rights and different arrangements for the payment of rights.

In an individual management tradition where the publisher is the exclusive rightholder, the private copy principle is necessary for the promotion of knowledge and individual freedom. An organisation paying the private copy fee can provide students with copies of works on the internet.

The Brun-Buisson Commission on private copy has called for royalties on all CD ROM-type media, like those that still exist for blank video and audio tapes. The fee will offset lost revenue from use without purchase. For publishers the remuneration is fair, not only for authors and their beneficiaries but also for the entire creative community, since 25% of the total amount of royalties will be earmarked to support creative artists' personal education. The aim is to strike a balance between the respective interests of creative artists and the public. In a country which has always defended a humanist approach to copyright, safeguarding remuneration and ensuring a rich and diverse culture, it is essential to recognise this approach and not to create artificial exceptions for education or research. The means for gaining access to culture are not the same in Switzerland or the United States. Recognising the value of a work is a form of culture and an education in itself. A minimum level of protection must be maintained so that creative artists can continue to create.

There are new models for managing intellectual property. That being said, copyright as conceived in 1957 regards intellectual property as intangible and is therefore well-suited for the economy of the future. There is no legal loophole in that regard. All that is needed is to define the base for assessing the amount to be paid and to share the proceeds appropriately.

The book is a medium. The fact that text and image can be stored in databases and reproduced and disseminated on CD ROM and other media is a technological revolution. The revolution has already taken place for film, with the licence fee for (public) broadcast television. Likewise, there are legal licences for broadcasting music on the radio, set up by rights bodies. That being said, the problem with legal licences is that they can lead to a sameness in the choice and selection of broadcast works. On another subject, it is now possible to subscribe to legislative and legal publications, their authors being remunerated in proportion to the amount of fees.

La comparaison des conditions de l’enseignement en France et aux États-Unis se justifie d’autant moins que l’enseignement outre Atlantique est payant et que le modèle économique et les moyens financiers des universités y sont sans commune mesure. La connaissance des étudiants américains se base désormais sur les réseaux, les bases de données. La base de données juridique Lexis Weslaw est accessible dans une salle d’informatique ; dans la salle voisine, où se trouve une bibliothèque extrêmement riche, il n’y a plus personne. Néanmoins, il ne faut pas oublier que si les élèves ont accès à des bases de données, l’Université acquitte pour ce faire une redevance à des ayants droits.

Les contenus numériques vont progressivement remplacer les supports physiques. La musique présente sur un Compact Disc peut être copiée sur d’autres Compacts Discs ou être enregistrée sur un ordinateur. L’écrit papier est aussi apparu très tôt comme un support appelé à se "dématérialiser". Les 25 volumes de La Comédie Humaine de Balzac peuvent être contenus sur un seul CD-ROM.

Le secteur de l’édition continue à se cramponner à une gestion individuelle de ses droits. La rémunération des droits peut être effectuée de deux façons :
- par la gestion dite individuelle;
- par la gestion dite collective.

À ce jour, dans l’édition, les éditeurs disposent par contrat du droit de reproduire et de représenter l’œuvre des auteurs, et les rémunèrent en conséquence. Le livre constitue a priori le support permettant d’obtenir cette rémunération, mais celle-ci sera de plus en plus obtenue à partir des bases de données (CD-ROMs…) qui permettent de diffuser ces connaissances.

La rémunération est essentielle pour l’auteur, et garantit la création. La reproduction des œuvres a déjà été problématique avec la photocopie; 15 ans ont été nécessaires avant d’arriver à la loi du 3 janvier 1995, qui a mis en place un système de licence légale, 100 millions de francs étant recueillis annuellement par une société agréée (le Centre Français du Droit de Copie), et répartis au niveau de l’ensemble des œuvres scolaires universitaires. Ce système n’a cependant pas permis de maintenir la diversité dans le domaine de l’édition scientifique. Les auteurs comme les éditeurs, sont désormais très attentifs aux conséquences de la numérisation.

Dans le monde musical, où la gestion collective des droits est l’objet d’une histoire plus importante, dans le monde du cinéma et dans d’autres, des sociétés comme la SACEM, la SACD ou la DAGP (pour les œuvres graphiques) ont constitué la société Sésame, sorte de guichet unique permettant déjà aux utilisateurs de s’acquitter d’une redevance négociable en fonction de l’usage (les rémunérations ne sont pas les mêmes dans le cadre d’une exploitation commerciale et dans celui d’une exploitation éducative ou de recherche). Il existe donc un aménagement des droits et de l’acquittement des droits par les sociétés ou les titulaires les représentant.

Dans une tradition de gestion individuelle et d’exclusivité du titulaire qu’est l’éditeur, le principe de la copie privée constitue une respiration nécessaire à la connaissance et à la liberté individuelle. La rémunération pour copie privée permet à l’organisme qui s’en acquitte de proposer à des étudiants des copies sur Internet.

La commission Copie Privée présidée par M. Brun-Buisson a prévu une redevance sur tous les supports de type CD-ROM, à l’instar de celle qui continue d’exister pour les cassettes audio et vidéo vierges. Cette rémunération permettra de compenser des pertes de revenu découlant d’un usage hors achat. Pour les éditeurs, il s’agit là d’une rémunération équitable, tant pour les auteurs que pour leurs ayant droits, mais également pour l’ensemble de la communauté des créateurs puisque 25 % du montant total de la rémunération aidera les créateurs pour leur formation personnelle. L’objectif est de trouver un équilibre entre les intérêts respectifs des créateurs et du public. Dans un pays qui a toujours défendu un droit d’auteur humaniste, qui permet une rémunération et assure la diversité et la richesse de la culture, il semble essentiel que cette approche soit reconnue, et que ne soient pas créées artificiellement d’exceptions dans les domaines de l’éducation ou de la recherche. En Suisse ou aux États-Unis, les moyens d’accéder à la culture ne sont pas les mêmes. La valorisation d’une œuvre est déjà une forme culturelle et une éducation en soi. Il faut maintenir un seuil minimum de protection pour que les créateurs puissent créer.

Il existe donc de nouveaux modèles de gestion de la propriété intellectuelle. Cela étant, le droit d’auteur, tel qu’il a été conçu en 1957, considère la propriété intellectuelle comme une propriété immatérielle, et s’adapte donc parfaitement à l’économie de demain. Il n’y a pas carence de droit en la matière ; il est seulement nécessaire de trouver l’assiette du montant du droit, et de bien le répartir.

Le livre est un support. Que le texte et l’image soient intégrés à des bases de données et soient reproduits sur des CD-ROMs et d’autres supports qui peuvent le diffuser représente une révolution technologique. Cette révolution est déjà une réalité pour le film, puisque la télévision hertzienne donne seulement lieu à une redevance (qui en outre ne concerne que le service public). De même, il existe des systèmes de licence légale pour la diffusion de la musique à la radio, mis en place par la gestion collective. Cela étant, le problème de la licence légale est qu’elle peut parvenir à une unicité du choix et de la sélection des œuvres diffusées. Au demeurant, on peut aujourd'hui accéder, via des abonnements, à des éditions législatives et juridiques, qui donnent lieu à une rémunération des auteurs au prorata du montant de droits acquittés.

Copyright at present remunerates not the author but the publisher, not the content but the medium.

The challenge is for Europe to achieve economic leadership within the next few years (in accordance with the Lisbon criteria) in a new economy in which value creation is based not on transactions but on sharing (sharing knowledge and information, the capacity to create and spread value), in active communities that innovate, and therefore create.

The economic models on which the publishing industry has been based hitherto remunerated the medium less than the content: a book by Agatha Christie costs the same as a book by a much less well-known author. The vast majority of authors do not live on their books. Is it not a mistake to say that we manage rights whatever the medium? In essence, we manage a service (as far as databases are concerned, we pay access time).

Systems of collective thought are based on a market economy in which the transaction is king. Lawyers, legal experts and accountants help the players to maintain their position in this system and mindset at all costs, since it will enable them to increase their income. Existing systems defend the rights of intermediaries, not really those of creators and beneficiaries.

Intellectual property is the stage on which international commercial interests will confront each other over the next five years. If Europe wants to introduce a system which allows creative artists and beneficiaries to appropriate the objects of its heritage, culture and education, there is a real challenge to be met. It is in that spirit that the Council of Europe is working on an instrument to defend the cultural heritage against globalisation.

The problem is a complex and difficult one. We should not be afraid of taking a slightly Copernican view of social transformation, in which it will not be possible to keep on creating wealth. Creating wealth increasingly means capitalising on the intangible and drawing on ideas of collective identity, essential to which are ideas of heritage and the digitisation of cultural information rapidly accessible to the greatest number.

In classic economic theory, if the marginal cost is zero there is no price. Should we construct the rules of the new economy on those of the old - as we are desperately seeking to do - as though a creative work was like a car? Moreover, the law develops according to social consensus. An economy cannot be built on keys if no-one wants to use them. The actors in the value chain need to be clearly identified, as do the sources of income for each one.

The importance of a comprehensive approach

The Audiovisual and Multimedia Research and Innovation Network (RIAM) was created in early 2001 in the wake of the PRIAM programme and is one of the Technological Research and Innovation Networks (RRIT) . Its aim is to take an interest in content and usage, with the underlying idea that internet content could be one of the drivers of high-speed access.

RIAM's objective is to bring together several communities of manufacturers around flagship players like Thomson, Thales, Canal Plus Technologies, etc. The network also includes the creative aspect (audiovisual, publishers' multimedia divisions) and research laboratories working in the sphere of digitisation and audiovisual or audio content.

RIAM's two chief areas of research are:
- the protection of intellectual property rights and digital rights management (DRM);
- self-production (the spread of mobile telephony and SMS has shown that network growth is due in large part to self-produced content and inter-personal exchanges).

The internet is not only a vector for piracy but can also help:
- to promote better management and use of rights, through new usages that existing media do not allow (certain sites sell pieces of music or videos with forms of rights management adapted to different types of use: for one-time use, one week, etc.);
- to apply the pay-TV or pay-per-view system to the internet, via decoders, smart cards or the recent Smart Right system (developed by a Thomson-led consortium and supported by RIAM) with the aim of tightly controlling rights management, including on domestic networks, ie, for all uses in the home.

The first problem with DRM is security. Beneficiaries are of course careful to ensure that the system cannot be pirated too rapidly (for example, CSS coding for DVD was soon circulating on the internet). Smart cards are a functional solution for online transactions. The protection of privacy and data is another issue, as is the question of open-source software, bearing in mind that one of the first security measures in this respect consists in not publishing the algorithms (even cryptography patents are rarely published).

Lastly, the network's influence in the international sphere should not be forgotten. French players must be able to disseminate their French-language content in a sufficiently accessible way and allow for a proper utilisation of rights so as to ensure that they are not submerged on the internet by content in English, or even Quebec French.

As far as artistic and cultural knowledge is concerned, a wide-ranging and ambitious approach to the use of new technologies must be taken. Invention must genuinely defend creative artists (rather than intermediaries) and the collective aspect, ie, identity and knowledge-sharing (teaching, training, open systems, etc.). Short-termism often seems to be the order of the day, with systematically defensive positions where rights are concerned. It is crucial to review the fundamentals of a new economy based on paperless works and documents, for which no definitive elements exist to date.

Possible solutions

The question may be approached from the following standpoints:
- better prevention;
- consumer education;
- effective procedures.

  • As far as better prevention is concerned, wouldn't better encryption be the right solution, with the help or under the aegis of a public organisation? Public information and control by a supervisory authority seem important. For education, the question of free information for educational purposes needs to be analysed in detail.

  • For procedures, it is important to encourage internet access providers to step up their prevention and enforcement measures with regard to the content they host. The telecommunications crisis is very beneficial here, since the number of IAPs will dwindle and it will hence be much easier to require them to control the messages they circulate.

  • Lastly, Microsoft has not greatly suffered from content piracy. Constant innovation should be a priority, since it can often be a workable substitute for rights management.

It is instructive to compare what Microsoft and MIT are doing. MIT has put its courses online via open crosswave. Its revenue model is different from that of Microsoft, which is able to achieve 85% margins despite being one of the most extensively pirated companies in the world (its business model takes piracy costs on board). Is protection at all costs a solution? Doesn't a model exist with a different remuneration system which would benefit consumers and not just the majors?


ROUND TABLE n° 3

VOICE AND IMAGE ON IP: TECHNOLOGICAL CONVERGENCE

Introduction

Convergence is one of the myths that has been around almost since the birth of the internet. But if convergence is defined as the possibility of providing voice/data/image services via the same medium, it is plain that for the most part voice networks carry voice traffic, television networks carry video and data networks carry data. The question this round table has to address is therefore whether for economic and technical reasons the horizon will continue to recede or whether convergence is becoming a reality, driven by the emergence of a single technology in the form of the IP protocol.

Voice on IP

A number of factors need to be taken into account in order to clarify this issue.

- Standards now exist, allowing for voice transmission on IP under acceptable conditions, and such services have been rolled out in certain cases.
- High-speed access is spreading, thanks to cable networks and ADSL.
- Cable operators have introduced a number of standards which make it possible to envisage voice transmission via cable, alongside existing data transmission facilities.
- A number of economic factors may also help to drive nascent competition in voice/data/image transmission.

Among telecom operators, competition between fixed and mobile services is causing slower growth in wireline telephony and may encourage operators to extend their offerings in terms of both services and video content.

From an economic standpoint, convergence would enable operators to cut their costs, by using the same medium to provide two services.
- Competition, always fiercer between cable and digital TV, may lead cable operators to diversify their services, as they already have done with high-speed access. Telecom and cable operators are in competition over high-speed access. The question is whether this will spill over into head-on competition for voice services.
- However, telecom operators could respond to this encroachment onto their market by offering video. The range of possible dynamics where competition is concerned suggests that convergence in this direction is emerging, with interpenetration between services and networks.

Newcomers onto the market will even be able to offer voice services on already highly competitive broadband networks.
- Voice on IP already exists. If it were to be available on a larger scale, the question arises whether the service will be of at least equal quality to that of conventional wireline networks.
- Although a number of standards exist, voice on IP mainly uses proprietary systems, which explains why it has been taken up first in corporate networks and for the interconnection of such networks. It is marginal in terms of general consumer access, even if a number of technologies can carry voice traffic on broadband.
- As far as new services are concerned, widely-used mobile services (messaging, enhanced directories, teleconferencing, etc.) could be offered on fixed networks using voice on IP.

Video on IP

The technology for video on IP is now mature. Video compression technologies (MPEG-2, MPEG-4) and video transmission speeds are becoming compatible with the access technologies now available. Speeds are now reaching 2 Mb/s, giving quality comparable with that of broadcast television.

The potential penetration of high-speed networks is very great. Television on conventional telecom networks paves the way for services that have made relatively little headway on cable, such as video on demand and all other peer-to-peer interactive services. The opportunities of television could enable telecom operators to make up for some of the slower growth in conventional telephone services.

However, some factors of uncertainty remain as to the spread of these technologies :

- At least 6 Mb per household : The first question is whether access networks will permit services comparable with those that currently exist on cable and satellite. Will it be possible to transmit at least two television programmes on the same high-speed channel, which presupposes 6 Mb per household, counting the related services? The services on offer in France have not yet attained that level.
- A wait-and-see attitude : A number of video compression standards allow for the migration of video to telecom networks. However, these standards are evolving and technology shifts may be expected, with compression algorithms that exceed current capacities. In a context of constantly advancing technology, the players concerned may prefer to wait and see what happens.
- Content security : Content providers are reluctant to see their content circulated on these networks, knowing that illegal use could attain the scale of Napster in the music world.


Lastly, the question arises whether the overall business model of these new TV distribution methods allows for prices that are competitive with those of current providers (cable and satellite), taking into account:
- the price of content;
- the price of networks;
- what consumers will have to spend on terminal equipment in their home.

Experiments suggest that a balance can be achieved.

One of the underlying questions which the participants in the round table should address is whether the economic and technological conditions described above will enable networks using the IP protocol to become the primary universal channel for carrying voice, image and data.

Will the economic benefit of migrating all services to the same network, or at least the same technology, be on the same scale as the necessary investment? In other words, is there any real economic advantage in convergence? Doesn't the use of dedicated networks represent an economic optimum? Does a regulatory framework exist within which voice can migrate to cable and television to telecom networks?

Discussion

Convergence is a technological proposition. But where technology proposes, the market and usage dispose. There is a widening gap between what technology is capable of and how it is used. What conclusions can be drawn, and how can the situation be remedied?

The question is whether unified networks are even appropriate for multimedia applications. Means of communication work not by substitution but by addition. Technological convergence will perhaps result from rather different types of use than those found on today's networks (which will doubtless be around for a long time yet).

Technologies

Background

IP is designed to federate, for fixed as for mobile. However, the infrastructure needs to be adapted to multimedia. In technological terms multimedia, especially synchronous, is at the opposite end of the spectrum to IP: it is by nature contrary to best efforts, to intelligence at the extremities of the network, to equal treatment of applications and even to the peer-to-peer principle. IP is currently adapting to multimedia. This adaptation is taking place at different levels.

- The pioneers of synchronous multimedia on IP took an end-to-end approach to adaptation. In other words, they adapted the speed of the server to that of the client; that was the basis for present-day audio and video streaming. The question of increasing the speed is still a live issue.

- The next step was to refute the egalitarian approach, ie, to treat different flows in different ways. Initially, each flow was treated differently, with the result that complexity in the network increased needlessly. The problem was partly solved by introducing classes of services, with different priorities and characteristics.

- Multicasting solved the problem of peer-to-peer. CDN architectures played an important part in bringing audiovisual content closer to clients. Servers were placed in the network to relay audiovisual content and bring it closer to clients.

Another solution consists in using a medium other than IP. An ATM part still exists in telecom networks to handle this type of configuration.

xDSL technologies have an adaptability that is particularly well-suited to higher speeds and symmetrisation.

The future of IPv6 is also important for multimedia on IP. The main issue remains that of quality differences according to the service (games, videoconferencing, etc.). Considerable progress is still needed in R&D, standardisation, operational implementation and operability.

Technological performance, especially speed, is still a real issue.

Consumer maturity with regard to services on IP is a very important factor, and maturity is increasing. A user playing Everquest on-line on Sony's dedicated site can see a bar in the top left corner of the screen which is green, yellow or red according to the state of the network. The bar indicates:
- the time lag between you and the game server,
- packet loss in and out between you and the other player.

Players now have a high degree of technical maturity with regard to IP transmission and may change operator during the game according to transmission quality. This raises the question of the quality of low-cost networks.

Does it cost much more to deliver 200 Mb than 2 Mb? The price per bit transported has tended to increase recently. Is this consistent with much higher speeds all round?

There is no country where operators do not hold back part of the ADSL bandwidth so as to be able to offer it the following year, bearing in mind that the price of low band (which carries voice and possibly also low-speed data) is steadily falling. For TV, it is in the interest of satellite operators to offer television, which from the outset requires 2 Mb, if not 3 or 4. The speed is not the same, but that should not concern the internet.

Usage


Although the technology carrying voice, data and video is converging in terms of infrastructure and technical solutions (involving across-the-board digitisation of content, protocols, infrastructure, etc.), business models and usages for voice, data and video are still different. This fact is under-estimated, especially by players in the telecommunications industry.

The difference in business models is due to the fact that audiovisual and multimedia services are not like staple goods that you buy in a supermarket. They are packaged and offered to consumers through the filter of content, which is by nature editorial. There is an editorial approach which looks to assemble a certain amount of raw material in order to make a product that has its own identity. Success is the reward for intelligent packaging, which offers something extra, of an editorial nature.

Voice on IP

The technology needed to provide voice services on IP is mature. Compression is efficient and the bandwidth on copper is available. There is no real technological problem.

Voice on IP is possible in the broadband data channel, whether ADSL, wireless LAN or cable. With voice on IP, a single copper line or cable can carry several simultaneous calls. In other words, one household can conduct five calls at the same time, each with its own number, service and filter. It is also possible to offer exactly the same services as are available on a mobile (SMS, voice messaging, etc.). Small terminals are appearing, called NOS-IP, which can be placed in a child's bedroom, for example. They can display SMS and it is possible to buy minutes or unlimited time for the local zone. Voice on IP is thus giving fixed telephony a new lease of life. However, the immaturity of operating standards is an obstacle to the complete replacement of all consumer voice telephone technology by voice on IP.

Audiovisual content

Television offerings are driven by three main lead products: film, sport and news.

Films are the prime lead product. From a convergence standpoint, the solution would seem to be video on demand or pay-per-view - the possibility of watching any film at any time. Yet from the standpoint of both the consumer and the content provider, the reference in this field is the DVD, well ahead of broadcasting.

DVD now generates content producers' biggest revenue stream: doubling every year, it drives the industry. A DVD can be rented for €1 or €1.50 and, if it is well-made, projected onto a 4m x 4m screen with close to cinema quality. Consumers generally perceive only part of this quality. One euro for an hour and a half of superb quality digital image and sound is an economic benchmark which confronts players in the telecom sector with the following question: when will it be possible to retail the equivalent of 4 Gb for one euro on a mass market?

Sport, the second driver, can be taken together with news. Sport's value lies in immediacy. Not many people watch a two- or three-month old football match. The corresponding business model therefore represents an attractive opportunity for players in the telecom sector. However, a way of packaging the product attractively still needs to be invented. The immediacy value of news is even more obvious. There are more innovations in this sphere, or at least more investment by specialist producers. But although someone might watch a news flash for five minutes on a mobile phone, it is harder to see them doing it for a whole match or a film, simply as a matter of comfort or screen size.

Without these drivers it is difficult to build a durable economic model for audiovisual services. The overall offer consists mainly of lead products - which are the raw materials - onto which packaging and the editorial line are subsequently grafted.

Radio, as a popular medium, has not suffered in the slightest from the enthusiasm for downloading music from the internet. With a plethora of stations, radio has successfully preserved a certain complicity with the audience, a message and an editorial direction.

In the video sphere, cable operators have come to terms with the aggregation of content better than telecom operators, probably for cultural reasons. If the telecom sector really wants to get to grips with convergence and develop offerings that meet consumers' expectations, it will have to achieve a better understanding of the reasons behind aggregation and the consumption of audiovisual content.

Home use

Uses in the home include not only television but also photography, music and video.

-The explosion of digital photography has automatically triggered exchanges on the network, both between individuals and in order to access services such as printing. It is currently one of the most important factors driving the growth of services on IP.
- As far as music is concerned, the number of portable digital players in the United States is expected to rise to 15 million in 2003. Download sites are becoming increasingly user-friendly and are likely to expand.
- Hard disk capacity is growing much faster than Moore's law. By 2008, the average hard disk will contain a terabyte of data, equivalent to one month of continuous MPEG-2 video. Hard disks will be found in video recorders, game consoles, portable digital players, etc.
- Multiple PC ownership is very important for the home use market. 300,000 French households currently own more than one PC. Home networks will soon exist, raising the question of outside connections. Wireless technology will certainly play an essential role in exchanges within home networks.
- Game consoles that can be connected to the network have recently appeared (X-Box, Playstation). Consumers on this market are particularly demanding in terms of network speed and service quality.

All these devices will have to exchange with the outside world, which will require higher speeds. Gateways will appear, linking devices to the outside. Their functions will be :
- connection to the network,
- security, especially with firewalls,
- address translation (while waiting for IPv6),
- management of services and the different levels of service quality required.

Business multimedia applications

Businesses use very few multimedia, voice and animated image applications at present.
- Enhanced peer-to-peer communication (a form of chat adapted to the business and enhanced with text, sound and image) is expected to become much more widely used in the future.
- Top-down communication, which today still often relies on conventional audiovisual networks, is another factor.
- Videoconferencing and document sharing will expand rapidly.
- Visits to pages incorporating video will also expand, constituting a typical e-learning tool.

Through the RNRT (National Telecommunications Research Network), a number of these applications have already been tested. As quality improves, videoconferencing is being taken up more widely, especially for distance learning and teamwork. France Telecom has recently tested what it calls a "telepresence wall", a life-like remote communication facility with a spatial audio system that allows for several simultaneous conversations.

What stage have these usages reached?

As far as video on DSL is concerned, 2002 saw more trials than real roll-outs. The number of global trials has increased considerably, from five to around forty.

Some operators are highly ambitious:
- Yahoo Softbank and Tellus are each aiming for 600,000 lines next year,
- Belgacom is also aiming for a large number of lines.

In most European countries, at least one operator (TV or telecom) is aiming for several hundred thousand lines within whatever timeline their respective regulator allows. The most advanced countries, like Japan, the United States and Canada, have been the first to pass the hundred thousand lines mark.

Cable operators have been rolling out voice on IP in a big way - which is hardly surprising given that for them it is the lowest cost option. Voice on IP has started on ADSL and is spreading fast; launched a year ago in the business market, it is now being taken up by young people in the home

Recommendations

Broadband gap

South Korean schoolchildren start handing in their schoolwork via PC, with animated and musical illustrations, from the age of about eight or nine. The broadband gap has been closed very quickly in South Korea: all schoolchildren need broadband at home in order to do their schoolwork.

In France, the gap appears at the age of 13 or 14, when young people start wanting to download music, games or video. Everyone is responsible, in social and geographical terms, for closing the broadband gap, which goes well beyond the digital divide. Closing the gap is also in the economic interests of the nation, insofar as the broadband penetration rate and the increase in traffic per subscriber (or revenue per subscriber) are drivers not only for operators and manufacturers but also for content providers (schoolwork, small business content, efficient teleworking, access to video content, etc.).

A business model for this content exists. Of course, the number of operators who can share the cake in a deeply rural area is open to debate; overall, however, given perequation between urban and less densely populated areas, the business case is solid and drives an economy that goes well beyond just telecoms. It is to everyone's advantage to promote this emerging market.

Regulatory disincentives

A regulatory problem arises in relation to broadband video: that of the division of rights between telecom operators and audiovisual producers. Some confusion reigns over the scope and powers of the audiovisual and telecommunications regulators (CSA and ART). A certain degree of maturity is needed so that a distinction can be drawn between commercial content or programme bundles and peer-to-peer multimedia communication. Legal grey areas still exist, such as the obligation on mobile operators to open their networks to virtual operators or France Telecom's right, as a carrier, to offer television on its networks.

ROUND TABLE n° 4

BRINGING EUROPE OUT OF THE TELECOMS CRISIS

Introduction

  • The telecoms crisis has its origins in four inflationary bubbles :
    - Too many operators over-invested in identical markets. Mainly CLECs in the United States and alternative long-distance operators in Europe, they committed too much capital. The investment curb, linear until the last two years, suddenly accelerated.
    - American pension funds invested heavily in new technologies. Investments were frequently redundant, with several firms being given money for the same type of project, and did not follow a rational overall strategy.
    - European mobile phone operators paid astronomic sums for UMTS licences, even though the uses of high-speed mobile telephony have not been clearly identified.
    - Operators and manufacturers embarked on a takeover spree just when stock prices were at their peak. Most operators sought international expansion, acquiring foreign operators at high prices which they had to write down the following year.

    These four bubbles, each of which represented 200 to 300 billion dollars, all burst at the same time. It is now acknowledged that investment cannot pick up again of its own accord. The effects of the bursting of the capital investment bubble will be absorbed in time, but companies are under-investing because they lack financial resources, even though needs have been clearly identified.

  • Despite the crisis, customers have not stopped using telephones: traffic, both fixed and mobile, has actually increased. The recovery depends above all on rising demand in new areas. Strong growth in broadband use should create a European high-speed market worth 140 billion euros by 2006.
    - 40 billion euros from the connectivity market (operators receiving monthly payments for ADSL, wireless LAN, etc.);
    - 40 billion euros from content (TV, e-commerce, etc.);
    - 60 billion euros from indirect growth (content production generates needs for software houses, hardware, people, etc.).

  • In the United States, a huge public fund has been earmarked for reviving the telecom sector, targeting two segments:
    - research,
    - manufacturers, then operators.

    No similar decision has been taken in Europe, although the industry is lobbying hard.

  • The first objective of any initiative must therefore be to encourage usage.

Governments in many countries have fastened on to this objective, committing themselves financially to the rapid spread of information and communication technologies.
- In South Korea, the internet is widely used in public education. A child without broadband in the home cannot learn English and cannot therefore get into a good elementary school. All South Korean parents have ADSL. It is probably not possible to transpose this kind of approach into France immediately. However, the South Korean government's investment in education has been enough to lift the corresponding industry into orbit.
- The United States sets great store by e-government, meaning the possibility of conducting all sorts of government business (social security, tax, applications for hunting and fishing licences, etc.) online. A number of e-government initiatives require broadband.

Other applications being developed encourage people to get high-speed access :
- tele-surveillance: many cameras linked to centres by broadband have been installed, especially as anti-terrorist measures. At an individual level, this type of system is widely used for elderly people;
- tele-medicine which, already advanced in ISDN, really only works properly with broadband.

The fundamental question is what percentage of subscribers should broadband reach, whatever the technology. A target of two-thirds of the population (the official US government target, which South Korea has already achieved and which Japan will have reached by the end of 2003) implies a year-on-year penetration rate of 7%, which is not unreasonable. However, all the players concerned (government, operators and manufacturers) need to share a common objective.
- If the spread of new technologies is to be encouraged, the factors holding back network use and the development of content and services need to be identified. Lack of confidence among content providers severely restricts innovation. Although confidence exists in areas such as teleworking, distance learning and e-government, that is not the case for televisual content. The transfer of rights to telecom operators has not been perfectly negotiated and will probably require arbitration by the government or public institutions.
- In research, efforts need to be made both at European level and, more specifically, in France. France is not among the top 20 developed countries in terms of broadband, internet or ICT use. It is aberrant not to take steps to remedy the situation, especially as French industry is well-placed and France is among the world's top six nations in many other areas.

Discussion

Introduction : Discussion of the causes

In the US in the 1970s, a yawning gap appeared between the capacities of NASA and other defence agencies and a very dated telecommunications network. The potential of communication technologies existed but was not being exploited. The whole aim of deregulating the telecommunications market in the US was to create forces that would necessarily lead to introduction of the most modern technologies.

In Europe, in contrast, telephone use was rationed. Seven or eight years ago, an American telephone generated five times more traffic than a French telephone. The same technologies are used on both sides of the Atlantic but with very different business models, causing Europeans to limit their telephone consumption and use. Telephone use in the US expanded rapidly in the 1920s and 1930s, whereas it did not really take off in Europe until the 1970s.

Growth has been steady in the 15 years or so since the arrival of the internet. The internet has considerably facilitated the process of innovation through the adoption of standards which, though rustic, are common and accessible to all. The internet has therefore made it possible to realise both the gains arising from technological progress and productivity gains (which are still appearing and will continue to do so, through job losses and the creation of new jobs). The internet will revolutionise finance, banking and retailing, though only slowly since mindsets do not change as quickly as technology. But it is plain that the internet attracts free content and prospers because of it, making it difficult to sell expensive services.

Value has moved elsewhere in recent years, to DVDs and peripheral applications. Telecom networks are just pipes. Information, which now represents most of the value, is a highly unstable commodity that is difficult to evaluate. It is all the more difficult for usage to spread in that access to content is rationed. Business models need to be revised and adapted to take account of these new realities. The shift has been a godsend for society and for the downstream economy, but it has also been a rude awakening for operators, especially those that went too far, either paying too much for licences (Bouygues was wise enough to resist) or making cash acquisitions at prices that were much too high.

What should be done ?

Supporting research

Research and innovation also represent an opportunity for Europe. It is essential that the potential represented by manufacturers should not disappear. They are in a difficult situation following the bursting of the internet bubble, for which they were not responsible. It would be a serious matter if France were to lose its know-how, in optics for example.

Research in various areas needs to be continued if broadband technologies and multimedia services and applications are to become widely available.

In the current unfavourable environment, equipment manufacturers are trying to maintain their R&D, especially their research, so that they can bounce back when the economic climate improves. The American government has poured two billion dollars into Lucent and another two billion into Nortel.

A number of European telecom firms have initiated discussions and sought solutions in collaborative research. However, the investments that manufacturers are willing to make must be supported by governments at both national and European level.

The EU has just launched its sixth framework research and development programme. It only partially meets players' expectations and has two major flaws:
- insufficient public funding - a mere 500 million euros, when the National Telecommunications Research Network estimates the amount needed to revive the sector at 2 to 3 billion euros;
- a long-term perspective - projects are due to end around 2006-2007 and would not therefore reach the market until 2007-2008.

European telecom manufacturers have got together to put forward a joint initiative reflecting their imperatives, which they have called CELTIC (Cooperation for a European sustained Leadership in Telecommunications).

Supported by all the telecom majors, the initiative takes the form of a large-scale Eureka initiative along the lines of similar initiatives in embedded software (ITEA) and micro-electronics (MEDEA+). The aim is to launch the new programme in mid-2003, with the first projects starting in early 2004 and the first transfers of services or applications taking place in 2005 or 2006, in conjunction with the sixth FRDP.

Academic and industrial research in France is very good. However, the sector's reactivity is much greater than the capacity to set up programmes. We have to look to the future. There is no advantage to be gained from devoting public research entirely to industrial projects, even though that is essential in order to get the focus right. Public research must generate sufficient margins to finance research further upstream so as to pave the way for subsequent innovation. In major research organisations, systems for guiding research and allocating budgets are based on publication; they take virtually no account of industrial realities and need to be adapted if we are to make up lost ground.

Supporting use…

… By developing a clearly defined and suitable telecoms offering

Supply is the first stumbling block. A small firm looking for an optical fibre link cannot find one except at a prohibitive and unprofitable price. Likewise, radio local loop offers have completely disappeared.

The only way of reviving the telecom sector, and to a certain extent the IT sector with which it has relatively close links, is to ensure that supply meets user demand. Even then, users must not be disappointed with the services on offer and must be satisfied with their technical quality. Operators have worked hard to promote ADSL to small business users.

If businesses are to be convinced, however, the service has to be flawless. There is no point in having a high-speed link between the subscriber and the DSLAM if the operators upstream have low-speed networks.

In order to make up for insufficient investment, the operators need to be sure of a stable business environment. The business case of a telecom operator (mobile, broadband or corporate high-speed access) is viable only with a return on investment in less than three years. Stability for at least three years is therefore essential, for both incumbents and alternative operators.

... Through education and training…

In most countries, and more particularly in the UK and the US, when exchanges were slimmed down most of the technical staff became surplus to requirements. In France Telecom, these employees were transferred to the sales side. Their particular status meant that they had to be found other jobs in the company (there is talk now of 45,000 staff being given early retirement or made redundant). In a similar situation, British Telecom and the American operators let their people go. Many of them were recruited by SMEs, thus spreading their technical skills and contributing to very strong demand for telecom applications.

SMEs are short of trained staff, especially network and computer technicians. Most training takes place on the job, by retraining employees with initial training in other fields. University technology departments do not turn out enough qualified people. Vocational short degree courses are excellent, but produce only a trickle of graduates. A post-graduate course produces only ten to fifteen people a year. There is a real shortage of managers with dual skills (technical and professional) in firms of all sizes, since the French education system barely addresses the need.

Lastly, public education in France is free. Educational institutions generally have limited resources, whereas disciplines like art history have substantial equipment needs. Fortunately manufacturers are relatively generous when it comes to donating hardware.

... By cutting prices to consumers

Consumer demand is not restricted to the managerial classes only. But the average French worker earns little more than the minimum wage. So there is no hope of selling services that cost hundreds of euros a year; instead, providers should be thinking in terms of an amount in double figures for a bundle of services including television, mobile phone, fixed phone and internet. In some European countries it is possible to have a 2 Mb link for a handful of euros a month. The question is whether French operators have the means to offer such services. The cost of the technology decreases with mass production; in South Korea, for example, the critical levels needed for mass production have already been reached. In France, price regulation has caused operators to propose only relatively expensive interconnection services, whereas the bulk of the market is at the lower end. Only content will revive the market: content emerges very quickly once the pipes exist, and the population, across the entire spectrum, takes it up immediately.

… By taking advantage of extensive mobile phone use in Europe

Another factor in developing broadband applications is synergy between fixed and mobile services. UMTS is late. Recent initiatives taken by the government and the president seem to be moving in the right direction: at European level, operators need to be released from licence constraints, leaving the market with a little bit more room for revival.

GPRS and broadband internet content is very similar. Content providers also need broadband access to offer their content on-line, meaning ADSL or Gigabit Ethernet. People using this speed are satisfied with it.

Some initiatives in the services field, such as those linked to Bouygues' i-mode, are likely to accustom people to consuming more medium-band services, which will in turn encourage them to consume more broadband services.

Should the market be allowed to purge itself ?

The collective strategic error was to think that lasting rents were possible. On the contrary, such rents are disappearing. The technical and economic environment is no longer conducive to the constitution of rents except for those of a copyright nature, like Microsoft's.

Some people argue that there is no point trying to save the historic assets of the telecommunications industry. Operators have gone out of business because they got things wrong or made poor choices (WorldCom and others). But we should understand, like the United States, that the current situation is a godsend.

Since the "cannibalistic" destruction of rents (to use the term coined by Andy Grove, former head of Intel), the question has arisen that Bill Gates regularly asked five or six years ago: what happens when everything is free? Twenty years ago, the United States wanted to move from a communication model to a free model, from which the American people were supposed to benefit. The American government regarded the fact that it entailed the death of a certain number of operators as a good thing for moving the industry forward.

The Financial Times has estimated that over-investment in the telecom sector amounts to two to three thousand billion dollars, impacting the accounts of both banks and operators. An article in the newspaper expresses the hope that the European Commission will wean the French government away from the belief that it can save France Telecom merely by injecting cash. The FT article argues that operators should go to the wall if necessary in order to make the industry more efficient.

Conclusion : What market ?

What will the market be like once the four bubbles have finished deflating? Will it be the same as before, with relatively little competition and reasonable margins for vertically integrated equipment manufacturers and operators? Or will there be much more competition, low margins and a horizontal structure, with players shifting their value added to specific segments rather than trying to cover the whole market, as in the IT sector. The answer is important, especially in order to calibrate R&D.

The consensus view is that the post-bubble market is likely to be slightly smaller. Even with 3G and ADSL, few people expect the growth rates seen with GSM three years ago. Most industry watchers expect them to remain at the same level as five or six years ago.

Regarding the shape of the market and the number of players, financial analysts agree that the arrival of start-ups and new small operators has had less effect on the market, as far as the manufacturers are concerned, than the arrival of Asian competitors (margins are slim and will remain so). Operators' margins will also remain low. Yet there will be fewer players than when the bubble was at its height. The current process of globalisation will continue, among both operators and manufacturers, though new entrants are expected both in the telecoms industry (including Microsoft) and in the content industry. Some players will doubtless leave the field.

ROUND TABLE n° 5

CRITICAL TECHNOLOGIES : PERCEPTION AND REALITY

When Gérard Roucairol and Jean-Claude Merlin wrote their report on the internet of the future for the National Telecommunications Research Network (RNRT) in 1999, the model on which it was based described digital telecommunications in terms of three worlds:
- the real world, made up of individuals, organisations and everyday things;
- the world of communication and connectivity;
- the world of intermediaries, the necessary link between all communication, and of on-line services, made up of software, computers and databases.

These three worlds were distinguished by a standard, IP, stronger now than ever, which breaks the one-to-one relationship between the telephone subscriber, the telecommunications operator and the service provider, making the three worlds entirely interdependent. In addition, as the world of communication is between two standards, so-called commodity services have become low-margin, high-volume items.

The bursting of the internet bubble has not fundamentally changed this model :

- In the world of intermediaries, a whole host of software, machines and databases are interconnected on the web. The major phenomenon is the integration of all these elements through standardisation, through links between applications (web services) and data integration as a result of the movement which began within W3C (web semantics). In the internet world, where time is measured in microseconds or nanoseconds, there is no longer any place for human intervention. The system has to work almost autonomously.
Software infrastructure is converging, as can be seen from corporate information systems (the market of choice for traditional IT) or remotely accessible value added telecommunication services. Both ERP applications and on-line telecommunication services are accessible on the web. The two major standards are those of Microsoft (.net) and J2EE (backed by Sun and much more open).

- In the world of connectivity, the important factor is that IPv6 is at last beginning to spread. The widely held idea that the core of the network is relatively stupid in relation to old-structure networks and that intelligence is located at the extremities is highly debatable. Intelligence is still located at the extremities, true, but it is getting much closer to the network. In fringe networks, infrastructure that takes into account what is transferred by the network, the content or the applications is spreading.

- The biggest impact on the real world has been made by wireless technology and high-speed access via xDSL or Gigabit Ethernet. The question is whether UMTS will annex the relationship between the individual, the operator and the service provider.

The real world is changing. The European Commission uses the fashionable term "ambient computing" (things and individuals become communicating objects). Embedded software is needed; the question that then arises is which operating system and which processors to use. Of course, if the ambient approach is to be realistic, there will have to be sensors and actuators in all the objects concerned. There is a definite trend in this respect towards proactive computing, ie, an increasingly autonomous digital world, providing assistance to the individual and with generalised peer-to-peer relations.

Discussion

For operators, the time horizon is one of the decisive elements of critical technologies. Some technologies are critical now, some will be critical in three or five years time, others may be critical in ten years or so.

Critical technologies are those that will be successful. Finding a market implies, apart from competitive pricing, identifying players capable of getting together in a value chain and customers who want to use the technology, ie, who see in it the answer to some of their deep-rooted frustrations. In this respect, critical technology has a sociological and ethnograpic dimension.

In order to find the right business models for value chains, it is important to test the corresponding technologies relatively early, via technological application platforms, and to work simultaneously on the business models.

Generic digital technologies

There are four generic digital technologies in ICT.

- Software

Whether in mainframe architecture, infrastructure software, data fusion or network security, a number of generic technologies are required, software first among them. For systems or equipment manufacturers, software represents 80% or more of the development cost.

- Microelectronics

Certain aspects of microelectronics are in the commercial domain (DRAM, etc.), others are much more sophisticated, especially in very high-speed or very high-performance systems. Some highly specific designs and applications can pave the way for leadership technologies. Nanotechnologies are an extension of microelectronics, though not enough consideration has always been given to future advances in the commercial realm.

- Optoelectronics

Development of optical networks, hyperfrequency optoelectronic interactions and their civil and military applications.

- Signal processing

Of course, these generic technologies have their own lives, but the extent to which they are relevant or critical or leading depends to a great extent on the progress made in each one. Sometimes progress in one generic technology can cancel out progress in other technologies.

For example, systems on a chip are a very important development, combining several digital technologies (microelectronics, signal processing, software). They represent substantial value added and may become a decisive factor in international technological competition.

Critical telecom technologies in 3 to 5 years

These primarily concern access technologies and technologies giving higher access speeds.

Optimisation of speed on paired copper cable

ADSL was still a critical technology not long ago, but the key issue now is to increase the power of ADSL networks and to design and engineer them for millions of users. The engineering of ADSL access networks (backbone and support) has in turn become critical.

Various technologies are currently being implemented:
- VDSL (which allows for a significant increase in speed),
- ADSL Plus.

Each of these technologies raises specific issues relating to the business model and value chain. Security-related aspects will also determine whether they develop more or less rapidly.

Mobile access

Radio and signal processing technologies are also critical for mobile access. Customers will demand greater mobility but radio resources will always be relatively scarce. The capacity to optimise and get the most out of the radio spectrum will be an important factor for a long time to come.

The critical factor for 3G - leaving aside the cost of licences - is interoperability. It took several years to achieve effective interoperability with GSM, and it is likely to take just as long for UMTS.

Wi-Fi offers really interesting possibilities for local networks; the technology is also being developed by pirates (especially in Paris).

The business models of these two technologies are rather different, since Wi-Fi is practically free and UMTS is relatively expensive. To what extent are they complementary and to what extent are they in competition?

In the countries which use both, namely Japan and South Korea, each has a substantial share of the market, especially as the terminals are different. 3G terminals (small terminals for young people) target a market interested in games, photography and video. Wi-Fi terminals target professionals (PDA, PC).

Wi-Fi is entirely complementary to 3G. It offers high-speed access in a certain number of places, without any major restrictions on capacity (for the time being). These restrictions, like those relating to security, need to be dealt with very quickly. With optimisation of the spectrum, 3G should bring considerable capacity to wider geographical areas. So far, it is entirely possible to envisage Wi-Fi and 3G working in tandem, and relieving different kinds of frustrations .

Access terminals

In the home, the need for interoperability between different items of hardware and the arrival of domestic gateways (television, set-top box, microcomputers, ADSL modems, etc.) will increase the capacity for communication.

Increasingly, operators will act as intermediaries. Critical technologies in this area are linking, intermediation and web service technologies which will make it possible to assemble quickly - and if possible openly - services from all over the world so as to create new portals or new and increasingly complex software suites, simply by assembling them and calling up services.

Microsoft says it believes in the continuity of service between Wi-Fi spaces and mainly GPRS spaces, with the PDA as the terminal of choice. A set of technologies depends on identification in a mobile world. Information technologies are therefore probably critical. Clearly identification, and hence access control, are areas in which France, with its tradition of high-level mathematicians, can stake out a position. The problem also arises of reconciling the need for identification with respect for privacy. It is an interesting technological challenge.

Upgrading network cores

Three elements could become critical in network cores :

- the move towards optical technologies, delayed somewhat recently, but likely to continue, starting with optical cross-connecting (multiplexing and, probably one day, routing). The key to this development is designing network architectures from scratch, on a purely optical basis. Network engineering will become critical. More generally, as network access and internal network technologies change in general, network engineering or re-engineering will become a source of substantial savings;

- peer-to-peer, important in terms of use, technology and implementation for operators, and the associated security issues relating to access (identification, authentication) and data transmission;

- IP itself (it will be necessary in the next few years to implement the multiplication of addresses on IPv6 and find the right paths for migration, which will be a major challenge in itself).

IT

When the IT industry in the 1960s wanted new applications, it developed them from scratch, including:
- the database management system,
- the operating system,
- the programming language,
- the memory,
- the processes,
- the microelectronics.

The industry was entirely vertical. Compatibility problems had to be solved by microelectronics. Specialisation became increasingly prevalent as it became more and more difficult to cover all these different aspects. The industry itself lived through this very rapid change, giving it great flexibility and mobility. Software generated more and more of the value added.

The recent pre-eminence of software

The web emerged in the late 1990s. The internet was designed with the idea in mind that software should play an important part. Software became essential when new network infrastructure was rolled out, to the point where the press now considers Microsoft and Nokia to be rivals (especially over the software environment for mobile phones). Software issues and telecommunications issues are merging.

Players are too often reluctant to talk about the software industry. To get a proper perspective, it is necessary to understand where the opportunities and the value lie. In fact, the value really lies in the software, which fulfils essential functions in the production not only of new products and services but also of telecommunications infrastructure, corporate information systems and the deployment of the internet in the broad sense.

Simultaneous development and deployment

The web arrived on millions of user PCs so rapidly that the same teams were responsible more or less simultaneously for design and standardisation. The periodicity of production cycles is not the same in the software industry as elsewhere. Even as a standard emerges, product developers have already integrated it into their concerns.

Europe's technological competitiveness

Technologies may be classified according to the following typology :

- commercial technologies, which are renewed and have their own lifecycle based solely on commercial criteria (some aspects of microelectronics fit this definition);
- leadership technologies, which give a definite competitive advantage and enable players always to be in the running;
- sovereign technologies, which are essential to the notion of independence.

Value added is to be found more in the last two categories than in the first.

Closing the R&D gap

A relatively important change has taken place in French research, with public operators reducing their research effort. Where should the initiative for new technologies come from if not from France Telecom R&D? The big manufacturers, start-ups, universities?

France Telecom has changed its strategy. The CNET (National Centre for Telecommunications Studies) no longer has the mission of spearheading the development of French industry. All the players, in networks, assume their own responsibilities and work together on the critical technologies of the future. Together, they also identify new markets and new applications so that French people can take ownership of new technologies by using them and consuming them as early as possible. All too often, however, as can be seen from the internet and mobile phones, consumers are not in the vanguard when it comes to using new services. It is important to understand why.

The civil/military couple can be perceived in different ways. There may be a movement from one to the other after the fact: military technologies can be adapted for civil use and vice versa. In the current context of globalisation and competition, dual-use technologies may be developed deliberately. After essential technologies have been identified to a horizon of five years or more, both civil and military researchers try and find a common set of specifications so that work on developing the technologies in question can begin. Differentiation comes later.

Ensuring a legal framework that favours innovation

Regulation is not neutral where radio technologies are concerned, as can be seen from the impact of the UMTS licence fee. The issue of regulation is particularly relevant to competition between UMTS and radio LAN. Radio LANs work at the present time because not many people use them. The frequency allocated to radio LANs is the same as the one used by microwave ovens and industrial applications, but when use of the technology really takes off and it has to cope with much larger volumes, prices will rise (dedicated frequencies will have to be found, and that costs money). Regulation will be needed.

- In signal processing applied to radio, ideas are surfacing, especially in the United States, about flexible spectrum management, with differentiation based not only on space and frequency but also on time (certain systems being able to cohabit on the same frequency bands). The regulatory framework in Europe is taking time to adapt. Shouldn't thought be given to the role of regulation in innovation and the development of technologies?

- With the growing demand for mobility, optimising the management of the radio spectrum will become increasingly important. The issue needs to be addressed, whatever the state of the regulations.

As far as critical technologies are concerned, the current state of regulation needs to some extent to be disregarded. The technologies and the possibilities they allow often conflict with existing regulations, which then need to be reassessed.

Patents have been widely used in the telecommunications industry; the audiovisual industry is highly sensitive to copyright. When a new industry is invented, it is by no means certain that the legislative and regulatory environment appropriate to sustain it will be exactly the same as the one developed in previous years for other needs.

 

ROUND TABLE n° 6

CONFIDENCE AND USAGE: PERCEPTION AND REALITY

Introduction

It is generally accepted that lack of confidence, whether on the part of consumers, users or vendors, is holding back the development of a certain number of uses of information and communication technologies.

  • Is this problem rooted in the reality of technology and behaviour or merely in perceptions? Is it a question of confidence in the internet itself, in the security of exchanges and payments, or in the good faith and ethics of the commercial and administrative interfaces that users encounter ?

In the early days of consumer e-commerce, service quality was so poor that customers would have shunned the providers even if payment systems had been absolutely secure. Other negative factors include the use of personal data, spam, etc.

  • Is it a question of confidence in the confidence mechanisms themselves?

    It is an issue that concerns backdoors and labels and the capacity of labels to enforce charters that companies have signed up to and to become better known.

Two initial questions arise :

- the existence, in particular areas, of real stumbling blocks, real difficulties that have to be resolved;

- among identified stumbling blocks, the possibility of collective, public action (in terms of research, regulation, awareness raising, etc.).Dan un premier temps, deux questions se posent :

Discussion

Secure payment

Although security is not sufficient in itself to ensure wider use it can contribute, especially if it is guaranteed. If bank cards are accepted by more and more retailers, it is because they are guaranteed payment.

The security of a system as a whole depends entirely on the security of its weakest link. With the same users, the same cardholders and the same card issuers, the level of security is not always the same when payments are made from terminals in different countries. For example, Thales makes PIN pads with different levels of security for different countries. Visa has worked with the American laboratory Infoward to define methods for evaluating aspects such as the confidential code protection level in PIN pads.

It would be necessary, at least at European level, to define through common criteria (identified by the 15-408 standard) protection profiles and public security methods accessible to the competitors involved. Payment terminal users must also agree to pay the small additional charge that guarantees security.

Encouraging bank card use could also have a significant effect on the growth of on-line transactions. Transactions paid by bank card currently account for only 7% of all transactions worldwide. From a macroeconomic standpoint, embracing all the players concerned, bank card payments are much less costly than cheque or cash payments. As well as generating productivity gains, initiatives to encourage bank card use would probably also have a significant effect on the growth of on-line transactions.

With smart cards and expertise in electronic transactions, Europe has acquired real technological expertise in security matters, and insisting on a certain level of security may also be tantamount to protecting an industry.

Personal data protection

According to some, the EU Electronic Signature Directive has been implemented in certain countries in a way that is incompatible with any possible return on investment. The project's requirements are too stringent at the current time in relation to what can be done to support the players on the market. This criticism is all the more real in that in Asia most people, or at least manufacturers, care little about privacy issues. In the United States, the protection of privacy is a personal rather than a government matter.

Nevertheless, because there is no broad data protection legislation in the United States, the government has introduced the Child Online Protection Act (COPA), a very restrictive law on internet and young people. Fifteen states have also introduced tough laws (much tougher than in Europe) on spam. A privacy issue has emerged in the national consciousness and the US is beginning to regulate things that it is not in the habit of regulating.

Biometrics is another case in point. The European Commission has launched and funded a biometrics initiative, considering that the technology improves privacy protection. Although the CNIL (the French data protection agency) is concerned about the existence of any centralised and exported database of digital signatures, recording a digital signature on a smart card does not seem to pose a problem. An important study of the subject is published on the CNIL website.

In 2001, in the framework of a Proxy programme, Thales developed a biometric match-on-card terminal (ie, with a control inside the card) which can authenticate the holder before signature, meaning that the card is not transmissible. The technology uses a silicon bar sensor which does not retain the fingerprint. The technique should satisfy the CNIL, but the technology is much more complex to implement than technologies based on a confidential code.

In July 2002, the CNIL launched a spam mail-box for complaints from internet users. 350,000 e-mails were received in less than 6 months.

The link between confidence and security

The key problem with regard to security is reparation. Security failures may cause harm to consumers or providers. It is also possible to be responsible without being at fault.

A new problem will arise with new systems, ambient technologies and ambient intelligence: that of safety. The precautionary principle, in connection with any safety problem, will probably be one of the major issues in coming years.

The context of confidence is that of an organisation of society that facilitates sharing. The knowledge-based society is a society built on trust. The challenge is that of transparency, which is of a quite different order of difficulty. Where confidence is concerned, security and transparency are essential. Transparency is the founding principle of data protection legislation. There will be confidence if there is transparency and if everyone involved is committed to it.

The issue of confidence arises essentially in relation to novelty and the unknown. When buying by mail-order, French people use the post office and give their bank card number over the phone without a qualm. But they are very reluctant to use networks and internet interfaces, never mind WAP interfaces. The lack of confidence among users is mainly due to the fact that they do not find the references in the virtual world that are familiar to them from the real world.

Confusion exists with regard to internet security standards. The general public believes that it is possible to rob a bank via the internet. In the healthcare sector, staff send faxes without a second thought and leave confidential documents lying about. People send written social security forms by post. There are no leaks. The problem of security is therefore one of consensus and not only one of technology.

There is no such thing as zero risk. Confidence is therefore a matter of belief, starting with belief in the capacity to make good any harm that might be caused. Some damage can be easily and totally repaired, for example by a reimbursement. Other types of damage, like invasion of privacy, are less easily reparable. Introducing mechanisms for repairing damage implies solving the problem of moral hazard (ie, deviant behaviour by a part of the population, such as seeking reparation without a rightful claim).

- Confidence in systems (computer systems, telematic systems, payment systems) requires first and foremost confidence in those who operate them. Confidence in others means having a relationship of trust with an institution.

- In certain sectors, better security does not necessarily mean greater use. Better road safety has not increased road use. The very notion of confidence or trust relies on the individual.

Studies have shown that confidence profiles are linked to usage profiles. The heterogeneity of the population is a factor that lessens confidence. People in the south are less trusting than people in the north. Education levels also have an influence on confidence levels.

The aim of confidence is growth. Confidence is in fact a marketing term now used to judge security. One way of getting the public to accept the importance of security and of paying to guarantee security would be to confront them with the consequences of a serious security failure. It may be extreme, but it would surely be effective. Demonstration by example is the most effective way.

Options for action and conclusions

Although web browsers are quite complicated, the software for making online payments is relatively easy to understand. But once an online payment has been made, the interface becomes totally opaque and it is difficult to find someone to contact if there is a problem. Vendors should be under an obligation to provide a recognised contact point or interface.

Education

The first action is educational. In the decree of 17 July 1978, the CNIL is given the task of advising "persons and organisations", a task which it regards as particularly important. Even before developing filtering or anti-spam tools (not effective enough at present), a considerable amount of awareness-raising and education is needed. The CNIL held a press conference on the subject of spam last week, at which a module explaining the legal and technical issues was presented.

- Consumers need reference points. The vast majority of consumers are not necessarily able to keep up with the pace of technological progress. A web browser is a very complex tool for most people.

- For retailers, the priority is to sell and deliver. The last thing they want to worry about is implementing a payment solution from among the 300-400 that currently exist. They need to be able to guarantee that their customers will be able to use the system.

- The job of telecommunications operators and manufacturers is to transport data and create standards and standard products. The industry is being asked more to agree on standards than to create different forums, which only add to confusion, even within the industry.

- The government should be the last to intervene, and then only when things go wrong. For example, it would be particularly unhelpful at present to push for the labelling (ie, certification, in the terminology of the French consumer affairs and fraud control authority) of online means of payment.

Terms like "control", "authority", "regulation", "right" and "penalty", more appropriate to a police station, crop up in much of what has been said so far. That kind of vocabulary is incompatible with confidence. Education should focus as much on risk as on labelling. If the world is a less certain place than it used to, it should be shown to be so.

Educational initiatives should therefore target the industry and institutions, not just individuals.

- For example, all too often circulation lists continue to show the e-mail addresses of all recipients.

- Likewise it is important to remind the professionals that everyone in their private life has a right of opposition. Article 27 of the data protection act states that people must be informed beforehand when information about them is collected. There is also a right to access this information and rectify it, and a right of opposition with regard to persons who pass that information on to third parties. These obligations already existed in the real world.

Regulation

A bill on the digital economy, currently being debated, is designed to transpose the 2000 EU Electronic Commerce Directive into French law. It will validate the double-click principle for contracts. It will also transpose the 2002 Data Protection Directive, and as such will deal with unsolicited electronic mail.

Consultation

Consultation has increased between authorities and online retailers and, more recently, between consumer groups and operators, but often within restricted forums.

- It is important to create frames of reference for payment solutions. Confidence in a currency is a specific thing, and absolutely essential in regulating an economy. It is not possible to transpose all the measures that need to be taken to ensure confidence in the currency to mechanisms intended to ensure confidence in other goods and services.

- Lastly, for both consumers and professionals, it is important to come up with a form of labelling that is the fruit of the consultation and the frames of reference described above. Labelling and certification are certainly necessary. However, the problem is that there may well be too much, which would not generate confidence either. Coordination is needed in order to avoid confusion.

In conclusion, there is no demand for new technical or regulatory measures. The focus should be on providing information and raising awareness. Confidence should also be approached from a positive standpoint, meaning that it should be regarded as something that is built up in a relationship, and not from a purely defensive position.

 
 
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